$9 megawatt-hr difference in profit margin for coal makes it hard for Europe to pass on Coal

National Geographic has a post on the shift in the USA to cleaner Natural Gas and the rise of coal exports.

The reality is it is hard for European power producers to pass on a $9 megawatt-hour difference in profit margin if they use coal vs. natural gas.

European utilities are now finding that generating power from coal is a profitable gambit. In the power industry, the profit margin for generating electricity from coal is called the "clean dark spread"; at the end of December in Great Britain, it was going for about $39 per megawatt-hour, according to Argus. By contrast, the profit margin for gas-fired plants—the "clean spark spread"—was about $3. Tomas Wyns, director of the Center for Clean Air Policy-Europe, a nonprofit organization in Brussels, Belgium, said those kinds of spreads are typical across Europe right now.

The article has lots of data like the drop in US coal powered electricity from 50% to 37.4%.

The reason is clear: Coal, which in 2005 generated 50 percent of U.S. electricity, saw its share erode to 37.4 percent in 2012, according to EIA's new short-term energy outlook. An increase in U.S. renewable energy certainly played a role; renewables climbed in those seven years from 8.7 percent to 13 percent of the energy mix, about half of it hydropower. But the big gain came from natural gas, which climbed from 19 percent to 30.4 percent of U.S. electricity during that time frame, primarily because of abundant supply and low prices made possible by hydraulic fracturing, or fracking. (Related: "Natural Gas Stirs Hope and Fear in Pennsylvania" and interactive, "Breaking Fuel From the Rock")

And points to other sources like the US Energy Information Associations data that 27 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity to be retired in 5 years.

27 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity to retire over next five years

graph of Historic and planned retirements of coal-fired generators, as described in the article text

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-860, "Annual Electric Generator Report." 
Note: Data for 2005 through 2011 represent actual retirements. Data for 2012 through 2016 represent planned retirements, as reported to EIA. Data for 2011 through 2016 are early-release data and not fully vetted. Capacity values represent net summer capacity

Plant owners and operators report to EIA that they expect to retire almost 27 gigawatts (GW) of capacity from 175 coal-fired generators between 2012 and 2016. In 2011, there were 1,387 coal-fired generators in the United States, totaling almost 318 GW. The 27 GW of retiring capacity amounts to 8.5% of total 2011 coal-fired capacity.

oops, Cleantech doesn't move at the pace Moore's Law, expectations reset

GigaOm's Katie Fehrenbacher post on the VC cleantech bust.

SUMMARY:

One of the key misplaced assumptions that Valley VCs made in cleantech boom times is that the rapid progress of Moore’s Law could be created for cleantech with a little bit of VC funding and Valley smarts.

Katie starts discussing the controversy of VC Cleantech by taking a stance agreeing with Wired's post.

One of the more in-depth pieces on the cleantech venture capital boom and bust cycles was published in Wired this week. While not all of my peers will agree with me (I have already gotten in some heated debates over this), I think the story was a solid analysis of how a lot of VCs piled into cleantech investing in 2007 and 2008 with not a whole lot of knowledge of the sector and now have backed out of it (we have covered this a lot, too). The long-term promise of cleantech itself isn’t dead, but the boom VC cycle has clearly ended, much the way the dotcom boom went bust and the promise of the Internet arrived later on.

Katie jumps to the flaw in VC thinking.

But another layer to this story is that one of the key misplaced assumptions that VCs made in the cleantech boom times is that the rapid progress of Moore’s Law— which says that the number of transistors that can be placed on a chip doubles every two years — could be created for cleantech with a little bit of VC funding and Silicon Valley smarts. The notion (which is seductive but not true in most cases) is that the traditional energy industries throughout the world just didn’t do the right kind of innovation and that the Valley’s can-do spirit and open wallets would be able to unleash this potential.

I was always surprised that VCs choose to invest in physics constrained problems like solar cells, fuel cells, and batteries.  But, hey the environmental stuff seemed like it was big money to be made.  Until the Chinese came in as well with its government dominating by engineers.

Coal use is going up in Europe vs. the USA, renewable energy replaces nuclear and gas, not coal

The Economist has an article on the use of Coal in Europe and how the renewable energy deployed is not replacing coal.

WHILE coal production and use plummet in America, in Europe “we have some kind of golden age of coal,” says Anne-Sophie Corbeau of the International Energy Agency. The amount of electricity generated from coal is rising at annualised rates of as much as 50% in some European countries. Since coal is by the far the most polluting source of electricity, with more greenhouse gas produced per kilowatt hour than any other fossil fuel, this is making a mockery of European environmental aspirations. How did it happen?

The article closes with a summary of the situation.

If policies work as intended, electricity from renewables will gradually take a larger share of overall generation, and Europe will end up with a much greener form of energy. But at the moment, EU energy policy is boosting usage of the most polluting fuel, increasing carbon emissions, damaging the creditworthiness of utilities and diverting investment into energy projects elsewhere. The EU’s climate commissioner, Connie Hedegaard, likes to claim that in energy and emissions Europe is “leading by example”. Uh-oh.

Container Air Energy Storage coming Q4 2013

GigaOm's Katie Fehrenbacher has a post on LightSail Air Energy Storage.

Peter Thiel, Khosla, Bill Gates back air energy storage startup LightSail

Peter Thiel is leading a large investment into an air energy storage startup called LightSail Energy. Thiel joins Bill Gates and Khosla Ventures as investors. Compressed air energy storage tech pumps air into tanks and releases it on demand to create a sort of air battery.

LigthSail

A startup that makes compressed air energy storage technology called LightSail Energy, has raised a whopping $37.3 million series D round led by Peter Thiel, and also including existing investors Bill Gates and Khosla Ventures. LightSail Energy, based in Berkeley, Calif., has been in stealth for awhile, but the company makes a next-generation technology that compresses air in a tank and efficiently releases it on command, creating a sort of air-based battery for the power grid.

I took a look at the technology section of LightSail and the first versions are 1MW containers.  What came to mind is whether LightSail could be used in a UPS scenario replacing batteries.  If you had a choice between hundreds of lead-acid batteries or a compressed air storage unit, what would you pick?

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Why Renewable Energy is the Right Decision for Google's Green Data Center

Google was nice enough to let me know yesterday that they would make a renewable energy announcement today, and I have a bit of time to think about the impact of the announcement.

More renewable energy for our data centers

September 26, 2012
We announced our commitment to carbon neutrality back in 2007, and since then we’ve been finding ways to power our operations with as much renewable energy as possible. In our latest step toward this end, we just signed an agreement with the Grand River Dam Authority (GRDA) to green the energy supply to our Oklahoma data center with 48 MW of wind energy from the Canadian Hills Wind Project in Oklahoma, which is expected to come online later this year.
...
This brings the total amount of renewable energy for which Google has contracted to over 260 MW.

The press release went live at 7:00a PT this morning and as expected GigaOm's Katie Fehrenbacher and DatacenterKnowledge's Rich Miller put up posts quickly.

http://gigaom.com/cleantech/google-powers-a-data-center-with-wind-for-the-first-time/

http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2012/09/26/google-provisions-more-wind-power/

What comes to mind when I see Google's actions is a speech from UPS's Scott Davis Chairman and CEO about Right Turns at the Right Time.

Here are parts of the speech that support the idea of doing the Right Thing for the environment.

Why are so many companies struggling to survive, let alone grow in value?

 Making the right choices for the long time is part of his theme, and how it fits into sustainability.

I believe that some companies made expedient decisions¿ or took ill-advised shortcuts¿ that compromised their reputations, and in the long-term, their underlying value.

There is no question that this is a challenging economic environment. It's very tempting to take the quick, cost-cutting approach without carefully considering the impact on your company's reputation.

In the short time we have together today, I'd like to share my perspective on the vital role your company's reputation should play in your strategy and decisions.

I'd like to address two topics:

* First, why reputation should matter to every company, large and small, and why you should guard it zealously. Why, in my view, it's the bedrock of long-term profit, and sustainability.

* Second, what we can do to ensure that our companies' reputations do not become the victim in this belt-tightening environment . And

Why is this so important?  This is part of your brand and choices customers make.

Let me frame my comments by saying that reputation to me essentially means the degree of trust, admiration, and esteem that stakeholders have for a company.

Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, and someone I admire greatly, defines reputation in a more candid way : He says "reputation is what people say about you when you leave the room."

Yeh, yeh doing the right thing is important, but I am about the bottom line.  Well the bottom line is your reputation in the customers mind is worth billions of dollars, even to Google.

According to most reliable sources that study issues involving corporate reputation, the value of a company's reputation capital¿ its intangible assets such as brand equity, intellectual capital, and goodwill¿ is enormous.

It can constitute between 70-80%, and in some cases, such as Google and Coca Cola as much as 90% of a company's market value.

UPS's brand value has been placed as high as $21 billion dollars. That's "B" as in billions . . .

I see a few CFO's out there, and I can tell by the smiles on their faces that I just got their attention!

The environmental aspect is key to UPS's strategy.

We have implemented many environmental programs company-wide, but our efforts in this area are perhaps best illustrated by our initiatives relating to our vehicles.

For nearly 80 years, we've been focused on fuel conservation, long before it became the critical issue that it is today.
In the 1930s, for example, we pioneered the use of electric-powered vehicles in New York City.

Today we operate the world's largest fleet of low-emission vehicles, approximately 20,000 of them, and that number will continue to grow.

We also operate the largest alternative fuel-fleet in private industry. That includes natural gas, liquefied natural gas, propane, fuel cell, electric, hybrid electric, and hydraulic hybrid fleets.

Our entire delivery network has been re-engineered for more environmental benefit. You may have heard it described in the press as the UPS Right Turn Policy .

I can see a few of your smiling out there, and I know what you may be thinking¿ but it really works.

We carefully map-out routes for all our drivers to reduce the number of left-hand turns they make.

And, here is a statement that will really get your attention.

The bottom line for us is that our stakeholders need to know that when it comes to the environment, we intend to be part of the solution, not part of the problem.

Who would think that this is a speech that comes from UPS's CEO?

But when it involves your company's reputation, you have to have the courage for the long haul :

* The courage to cling to your convictions
* The courage to place reputation at the head of the line...Every Time!!
* The courage to maintain, despite all the howls of protest, clarity of purpose, and relentless focus on your company's reputation

Second, do the right thing at the right time . . . repeatedly.

...

In closing, let me leave you with this challenge: When it involves your company's reputation, do what's right over what's easy.

I hope this helps you look at how Google's Green Data Center efforts fit in an overall strategy and it is important enough to hit the Official Google Blog.

we’re a growing company with a corporate mandate to use clean energy for our operations in a scalable way.